Third COVID-19 wave in Russia possible, expert says
- 23 December 2020
A third wave of the coronavirus infection in Russia is possible, its emergence will depend on many factors. According to scientists, if the third wave emerges, its spread rate will be lower than the previous one, Viktor Zakharov, Head of the Intellectual Logistics Center of the St. Petersburg State University that developed a mathematical forecasting model of spread of COVID-19, said on Wednesday, APA reports citing TASS.
He explained that the new wave of the coronavirus will depend on many factors, for instance, on the discipline of residents in observing anti-epidemiologic measures as well as on the restrictions introduced in Russian regions. The expert also added that, according to his data, the spread rate of the coronavirus during the third wave will be slower than during the previous one.
The CBRR (Case-Based Rate Reasoning) model of forecasting development of epidemics invented by the Center’s specialists, uses data on the coronavirus spread dynamics in those countries where the epidemic began earlier. In order to forecast the coronavirus situation in Russia, the official statistics is used.