Fitch revises up Turkey's growth forecast to 9.2% this year

Fitch revises up Turkey
# 17 September 2021 11:25 (UTC +04:00)

Fitch Ratings has revised up Turkey's 2021 economic growth forecast to 9.2%, according to the rating agency's Global Economic Outlook for September, released on Sept. 16, APA reports citing Hurriyet.

The new figure is a massive upward revision from the agency's previous upgrade made on Aug. 13 when it revised up Turkey's growth forecast to 7.9%, from 6.3%.

"Growth in 2021 is likely to be the highest in almost a decade as the rebound from the pandemic crisis continues," the report said, adding economic momentum has continued into second half of this year with ongoing recovery in leading indicators and mobility indices.

Fitch noted that it expects Turkey's gross domestic product (GDP) growth to slow to 3.5% in 2022, but then recover to 4.5% in 2023 "as the policy stance is eased ahead of the 2023 general election."

"Current strong growth rates have been accompanied by high and rising inflation," the report said.

The agency estimates inflation in Turkey to come at 17.2% this year, and 13.4% next year, and then 10.5% in 2023.