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Russian scientists say Moscow faced four coronavirus waves

02 June 2020 22:23 (UTC +04:00)

Scientists of Mendeleev University of Chemical Technology of Russia have analyzed the spread of coronavirus globally which revealed that Moscow in particular already overcame four outbreaks, reads the statement issued by the press service for Russia’s science and higher education ministry Tuesday, APA reports citing TASS.

"The first wave in Moscow emerged in early March and is the longest of all the waves. It is this wave that outlines the timespan of the epidemic - late June - and had 73,000 infections. Failure to observe the strict restrictive measures in Moscow led to rise of two more waves in late April and pushed the peak of the epidemic to May 7, contributing to the infections by 109,000 more patients. The fourth wave started in late May," the statement says.

It is noted that the fourth wave hit the city as some businesses reopened but was short-lived. However, it still resulted in 19,000 new cases, bringing the total to 201,000. "We believe that as restrictions are gradually eased, new waves will emerge. It is important that they be short and, to this end, every Moscow resident should observe precautionary measures," the researchers underlined.

Apart from Moscow and Russia, the university scientists used non-linear dynamics methods to calculate the spread of epidemics in China, Vietnam, South Korea, Japan, Israel, Sweden, Czech Republic, Germany, Italy, Spain, France and the United States.

For instance, the research authors say Italy has three waves emerging almost simultaneously in three different places, most possibly in Lombardy, Emilia-Romagna and Veneto. On March 1, a fourth wave broke out additionally which predetermined the whole epidemic spread scenario - local and global peaks in infections and the epidemic timeline.